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Parallel MCMC Without Embarrassing Failures

2022/02/22 by Daniel Augusto de Souza, de Souza, Daniel Augusto, Diego Mesquita +5
Computer Science · Neuroscience · #FOS: Computer and information sciences #Functional Brain Connectivity Studies #Gaussian Processes and Bayesian Inference #Machine Learning (cs.LG) #Machine Learning (stat.ML) #Machine Learning in Healthcare #Methodology (stat.ME)

paper · doi:10.48550/arxiv.2202.11154

openalex publication_date 2022/02/22 · openalex created_date 2025/10/10 · openalex updated_date 2026/07/28

Abstract

Embarrassingly parallel Markov Chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) exploits parallel computing to scale Bayesian inference to large datasets by using a two-step approach. First, MCMC is run in parallel on (sub)posteriors defined on data partitions. Then, a server combines local results. While efficient, this framework is very sensitive to the quality of subposterior sampling. Common sampling problems such as missing modes or misrepresentation of low-density regions are amplified -- instead of being corrected -- in the combination phase, leading to catastrophic failures. In this work, we propose a novel combination strategy to mitigate this issue. Our strategy, Parallel Active Inference (PAI), leverages Gaussian Process (GP) surrogate modeling and active learning. After fitting GPs to subposteriors, PAI (i) shares information between GP surrogates to cover missing modes; and (ii) uses active sampling to individually refine subposterior approximations. We validate PAI in challenging benchmarks, including heavy-tailed and multi-modal posteriors and a real-world application to computational neuroscience. Empirical results show that PAI succeeds where previous methods catastrophically fail, with a small communication overhead.

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