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Formula-Based Probabilistic Inference

2012/03/15 by Vibhav Gogate, Pedro Domingos, Gogate, Vibhav +1 · 1 citation
Computer Science · #AI-based Problem Solving and Planning #Artificial Intelligence (cs.AI) #Bayesian Modeling and Causal Inference #Data Management and Algorithms #FOS: Computer and information sciences #cs.AI

paper · pdf · doi:10.48550/arxiv.1203.3482

Appears in Proceedings of the Twenty-Sixth Conference on Uncertainty in Artificial Intelligence (UAI2010)

arxiv created 2012/03/15 · openalex publication_date 2012/03/15 · arxiv updated 2012/03/19 · openalex created_date 2025/10/10 · openalex updated_date 2026/07/28

Abstract

Computing the probability of a formula given the probabilities or weights associated with other formulas is a natural extension of logical inference to the probabilistic setting. Surprisingly, this problem has received little attention in the literature to date, particularly considering that it includes many standard inference problems as special cases. In this paper, we propose two algorithms for this problem: formula decomposition and conditioning, which is an exact method, and formula importance sampling, which is an approximate method. The latter is, to our knowledge, the first application of model counting to approximate probabilistic inference. Unlike conventional variable-based algorithms, our algorithms work in the dual realm of logical formulas. Theoretically, we show that our algorithms can greatly improve efficiency by exploiting the structural information in the formulas. Empirically, we show that they are indeed quite powerful, often achieving substantial performance gains over state-of-the-art schemes.

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