2006/12/01 by Igor Douven, Timothy Williamson · 5 citations
Arts and Humanities · Decision Sciences · #Epistemology, Ethics, and Metaphysics #Philosophy and History of Science #Decision-Making and Behavioral Economics
paper · doi:10.1093/bjps/axl022
This paper is concerned with formal solutions to the lottery paradox on which high probability defeasibly warrants acceptance. It considers some recently proposed solutions of this type and presents an argument showing that these solutions are trivial in that they boil down to the claim that perfect probability is sufficient for rational acceptability. The argument is then generalized, showing that a broad class of similar solutions faces the same problem. 1. An argument against some formal solutions to the lottery paradox2. The argument generalized3. Some variations4. Adding modalities5. Anticipated objections