vix.ing · top · new · best · stats · spec

Correlation vs causation in Alzheimer's disease: an interpretability-driven study

2025/06/11 by Hamzah Dabool, Dabool, Hamzah, Mustafa, Raghad
Biochemistry, Genetics and Molecular Biology · Medicine · #Applications (stat.AP) #Artificial Intelligence (cs.AI) #Bioinformatics and Genomic Networks #Dementia and Cognitive Impairment Research #FOS: Biological sciences #FOS: Computer and information sciences #Genetic Associations and Epidemiology #Quantitative Methods (q-bio.QM)

paper · pdf · doi:10.48550/arxiv.2506.10179

openalex publication_date 2025/06/11 · openalex created_date 2025/10/10 · openalex updated_date 2026/07/28

Abstract

Understanding the distinction between causation and correlation is critical in Alzheimer's disease (AD) research, as it impacts diagnosis, treatment, and the identification of true disease drivers. This experiment investigates the relationships among clinical, cognitive, genetic, and biomarker features using a combination of correlation analysis, machine learning classification, and model interpretability techniques. Employing the XGBoost algorithm, we identified key features influencing AD classification, including cognitive scores and genetic risk factors. Correlation matrices revealed clusters of interrelated variables, while SHAP (SHapley Additive exPlanations) values provided detailed insights into feature contributions across disease stages. Our results highlight that strong correlations do not necessarily imply causation, emphasizing the need for careful interpretation of associative data. By integrating feature importance and interpretability with classical statistical analysis, this work lays groundwork for future causal inference studies aimed at uncovering true pathological mechanisms. Ultimately, distinguishing causal factors from correlated markers can lead to improved early diagnosis and targeted interventions for Alzheimer's disease.

Related