2024/01/23 by Jian Zhang, Tong Wang, Zhang, Jian +1
Mathematics · Economics, Econometrics and Finance · #Statistical Distribution Estimation and Applications #Statistical Methods and Bayesian Inference #Financial Risk and Volatility Modeling
paper · pdf · doi:10.48550/arxiv.2401.13094
Skew normal model suffers from inferential drawbacks, namely singular Fisher information in the vicinity of symmetry and diverging of maximum likelihood estimation. To address the above drawbacks, Azzalini and Arellano-Valle (2013) introduced maximum penalised likelihood estimation (MPLE) by subtracting a penalty function from the log-likelihood function with a pre-specified penalty coefficient. Here, we propose a cross-validated MPLE to improve its performance when the underlying model is close to symmetry. We develop a theory for MPLE, where an asymptotic rate for the cross-validated penalty coefficient is derived. We further show that the proposed cross-validated MPLE is asymptotically efficient under certain conditions. In simulation studies and a real data application, we demonstrate that the proposed estimator can outperform the conventional MPLE when the model is close to symmetry.