2017/11/28 by Isaiah Andrews, Andrews, Isaiah, Maximilian Kasy +1 · 4 citations
Economics, Econometrics and Finance · Social Sciences · #Econometrics (econ.EM) #Economic Policies and Impacts #Experimental Behavioral Economics Studies #FOS: Economics and business #econ.EM
paper · pdf · doi:10.48550/arxiv.1711.10527
arxiv created 2017/11/28 · openalex publication_date 2017/11/28 · arxiv updated 2017/11/30 · openalex created_date 2025/10/10 · openalex updated_date 2026/07/28
Some empirical results are more likely to be published than others. Such selective publication leads to biased estimates and distorted inference. This paper proposes two approaches for identifying the conditional probability of publication as a function of a study's results, the first based on systematic replication studies and the second based on meta-studies. For known conditional publication probabilities, we propose median-unbiased estimators and associated confidence sets that correct for selective publication. We apply our methods to recent large-scale replication studies in experimental economics and psychology, and to meta-studies of the effects of minimum wages and de-worming programs.