Developing new techniques for obtaining the threshold of a stochastic SIR epidemic model with 3-dimensional Lévy process

2020/02/20 by Kiouach, Driss, Sabbar, Yassine
#37C40 #37H05 #Dynamical Systems (math.DS) #FOS: Mathematics #Probability (math.PR)

paper · doi:10.48550/arxiv.2002.09022

Abstract

This paper considers the classical SIR epidemic model driven by a multidimensional Lévy jump process. We consecrate to develop a mathematical method to obtain the asymptotic properties of the perturbed model. Our method differs from previous approaches by the use of the comparison theorem, mutually exclusive possibilities lemma, and some new techniques of the stochastic differential systems. In this framework, we derive the threshold which can determine the existence of a unique ergodic stationary distribution or the extinction of the epidemic. Numerical simulations about different perturbations are realized to confirm the obtained theoretical results.

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