Visual explanation of country specific differences in Covid-19 dynamics

2020/04/15 by Nils Bertschinger, Bertschinger, Nils
Economics, Econometrics and Finance · Mathematics · Medicine · #COVID-19 Pandemic Impacts #COVID-19 epidemiological studies #Data-Driven Disease Surveillance #FOS: Biological sciences #Populations and Evolution (q-bio.PE)

paper · pdf · doi:10.48550/arxiv.2004.07334

openalex publication_date 2020/04/15 · openalex created_date 2025/10/10 · openalex updated_date 2026/07/28

Abstract

This report provides a visual examination of Covid-19 case and death data. In particular, it shows that country specific differences can too a large extend be explained by two easily interpreted parameters. Namely, the delay between reported cases and deaths and the fraction of cases observed. Furthermore, this allows to lower bound the actual total number of people already infected.

Citations

• Substantial undocumented infection facilitates the rapid dissemination of novel coronavirus (SARS-CoV-2)
• Effective containment explains subexponential growth in recent confirmed COVID-19 cases in China

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