2024/07/18 by Jacob van den Berg, Berg, Jacob van den, Pierre Nolin +1
Environmental Science · #FOS: Mathematics #FOS: Physical sciences #Fire effects on ecosystems #Mathematical Physics (math-ph) #Probability (math.PR)
paper · pdf · doi:10.48550/arxiv.2407.13652
openalex publication_date 2024/07/18 · openalex created_date 2025/10/10 · openalex updated_date 2026/07/28
In the classical Drossel-Schwabl forest fire process, vertices of a lattice become occupied at rate 1, and they are hit by lightning at some tiny rate ζ> 0, which causes entire connected components to burn. In this paper, we study a variant where fires are coming from the boundary of the forest instead. In particular we prove that, for the case without recoveries where the forest is an N × N box in the triangular lattice, the probability that the center of the box gets burnt tends to 0 as N → ∞ (but substantially slower than the one-arm probability of critical Bernoulli percolation). And, for the case where the forest is the upper-half plane, we show (still for the version without recoveries) that no infinite occupied cluster emerges. We also discuss analogs of some of these results for the corresponding models with recoveries, and explain how our results and proofs give valuable insight on a process considered earlier by Graf.