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Robust Expected Information Gain for Optimal Bayesian Experimental Design Using Ambiguity Sets

2022/05/20 by Jinwoo Go, Go, Jinwoo, Tobin Isaac +1 · 4 citations
Computer Science · Decision Sciences · Mathematics · #Advanced Multi-Objective Optimization Algorithms #Artificial Intelligence (cs.AI) #Computation (stat.CO) #FOS: Computer and information sciences #Machine Learning (cs.LG) #Machine Learning (stat.ML) #Methodology (stat.ME) #Optimal Experimental Design Methods #Statistical Methods and Inference

paper · pdf · doi:10.48550/arxiv.2205.09914

openalex publication_date 2022/05/20 · openalex created_date 2025/10/10 · openalex updated_date 2026/07/28

Abstract

The ranking of experiments by expected information gain (EIG) in Bayesian experimental design is sensitive to changes in the model's prior distribution, and the approximation of EIG yielded by sampling will have errors similar to the use of a perturbed prior. We define and analyze robust expected information gain (REIG), a modification of the objective in EIG maximization by minimizing an affine relaxation of EIG over an ambiguity set of distributions that are close to the original prior in KL-divergence. We show that, when combined with a sampling-based approach to estimating EIG, REIG corresponds to a `log-sum-exp' stabilization of the samples used to estimate EIG, meaning that it can be efficiently implemented in practice. Numerical tests combining REIG with variational nested Monte Carlo (VNMC), adaptive contrastive estimation (ACE) and mutual information neural estimation (MINE) suggest that in practice REIG also compensates for the variability of under-sampled estimators.

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