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Accelerating Bayesian inference of dependency between complex biological traits

2022/01/18 by Zhenyu Zhang, Akihiko Nishimura, Zhang, Zhenyu +13
Biochemistry, Genetics and Molecular Biology · Computer Science · Medicine · #Bayesian Methods and Mixture Models #Computation (stat.CO) #FOS: Biological sciences #FOS: Computer and information sciences #Genomics and Phylogenetic Studies #Influenza Virus Research Studies #Methodology (stat.ME) #Populations and Evolution (q-bio.PE)

paper · pdf · doi:10.48550/arxiv.2201.07291

openalex publication_date 2022/01/18 · openalex created_date 2025/10/10 · openalex updated_date 2026/07/28

Abstract

Inferring dependencies between complex biological traits while accounting for evolutionary relationships between specimens is of great scientific interest yet remains infeasible when trait and specimen counts grow large. The state-of-the-art approach uses a phylogenetic multivariate probit model to accommodate binary and continuous traits via a latent variable framework, and utilizes an efficient bouncy particle sampler (BPS) to tackle the computational bottleneck -- integrating many latent variables from a high-dimensional truncated normal distribution. This approach breaks down as the number of specimens grows and fails to reliably characterize conditional dependencies between traits. Here, we propose an inference pipeline for phylogenetic probit models that greatly outperforms BPS. The novelty lies in 1) a combination of the recent Zigzag Hamiltonian Monte Carlo (Zigzag-HMC) with linear-time gradient evaluations and 2) a joint sampling scheme for highly correlated latent variables and correlation matrix elements. In an application exploring HIV-1 evolution from 535 viruses, the inference requires joint sampling from an 11,235-dimensional truncated normal and a 24-dimensional covariance matrix. Our method yields a 5-fold speedup compared to BPS and makes it possible to learn partial correlations between candidate viral mutations and virulence. Computational speedup now enables us to tackle even larger problems: we study the evolution of influenza H1N1 glycosylations on around 900 viruses. For broader applicability, we extend the phylogenetic probit model to incorporate categorical traits, and demonstrate its use to study Aquilegia flower and pollinator co-evolution.

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