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Networks of reinforced stochastic processes: probability of asymptotic polarization and related general results

2022/12/15 by Aletti, Giacomo, Crimaldi, Irene, Ghiglietti, Andrea · 2 citations
#60F15 #60K35 #91D30 #FOS: Computer and information sciences #FOS: Mathematics #Methodology (stat.ME) #Probability (math.PR) #Statistics Theory (math.ST)

paper · doi:10.48550/arxiv.2212.07687

Abstract

In a network of reinforced stochastic processes, for certain values of the parameters, all the agents' inclinations synchronize and converge almost surely toward a certain random variable. The present work aims at clarifying when the agents can asymptotically polarize, i.e. when the common limit inclination can take the extreme values, 0 or 1, with probability zero, strictly positive, or equal to one. Moreover, we present a suitable technique to estimate this probability that, along with the theoretical results, has been framed in the more general setting of a class of martingales taking values in [0, 1] and following a specific dynamics.

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