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Conditional Density Estimation via Weighted Logistic Regressions

2020/10/21 by Yiping Guo, Guo, Yiping, Howard D. Bondell +1
Computer Science · Decision Sciences · Mathematics · #Advanced Statistical Process Monitoring #Bayesian Methods and Mixture Models #FOS: Computer and information sciences #Machine Learning (stat.ML) #Methodology (stat.ME) #Statistical Methods and Inference

paper · pdf · doi:10.48550/arxiv.2010.10896

openalex publication_date 2020/10/21 · openalex created_date 2025/10/10 · openalex updated_date 2026/07/28

Abstract

Compared to the conditional mean as a simple point estimator, the conditional density function is more informative to describe the distributions with multi-modality, asymmetry or heteroskedasticity. In this paper, we propose a novel parametric conditional density estimation method by showing the connection between the general density and the likelihood function of inhomogeneous Poisson process models. The maximum likelihood estimates can be obtained via weighted logistic regressions, and the computation can be significantly relaxed by combining a block-wise alternating maximization scheme and local case-control sampling. We also provide simulation studies for illustration.

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