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Investigating the use of terrain-following coordinates in AI-driven precipitation forecasts

2025/03/01 by Sha, Yingkai, Schreck, John S., Chapman, William +1 · 1 citation
#Artificial Intelligence (cs.AI) #Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics (physics.ao-ph) #FOS: Computer and information sciences #FOS: Physical sciences

paper · doi:10.48550/arxiv.2503.00332

Abstract

Artificial Intelligence (AI) weather prediction (AIWP) models often produce ``blurry'' precipitation forecasts. This study presents a novel solution to tackle this problem -- integrating terrain-following coordinates into AIWP models. Forecast experiments are conducted to evaluate the effectiveness of terrain-following coordinates using FuXi, an example AIWP model, adapted to 1.0 degree grid spacing data. Verification results show a largely improved estimation of extreme events and precipitation intensity spectra. Terrain-following coordinates are also found to collaborate well with global mass and energy conservation constraints, with a clear reduction of drizzle bias. Case studies reveal that terrain-following coordinates can represent near-surface winds better, which helps AIWP models in learning the relationships between precipitation and other prognostic variables. The result of this study suggests that terrain-following coordinates are worth considering for AIWP models in producing more accurate precipitation forecasts.

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