2003/05/13 by A. Laszkiewicz, Laszkiewicz, A., Sz. Szymczak +3
Biochemistry, Genetics and Molecular Biology · Physics and Astronomy · Social Sciences · #Economic and Technological Developments in Russia #FOS: Biological sciences #FOS: Physical sciences #Genetics, Aging, and Longevity in Model Organisms #Insurance, Mortality, Demography, Risk Management #Populations and Evolution (q-bio.PE) #Statistical Mechanics (cond-mat.stat-mech) #cond-mat.stat-mech #q-bio.PE
paper · pdf · doi:10.48550/arxiv.cond-mat/0305277
8 pages including 4 figures; for Theory in Biosciences
arxiv created 2003/05/13 · openalex publication_date 2003/05/13 · arxiv updated 2009/11/30 · openalex created_date 2025/10/10 · openalex updated_date 2026/07/28
We have simulated demographic changes in the human population using the Penna microscopic model, based on the simple Monte Carlo method. The results of simulations have shown that during a few generations changes in the genetic pool of a population are negligible, while improving the methods of compensation of genetic defects or genetically determined proneness to many disorders drastically affects the average life span of organisms. Age distribution and mortality of the simulated populations correspond very well to real demographic data available from different countries. Basing on the comparison of structures of real human populations and the results of simulations it is possible to predict changes in the age structure of populations in the future.