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Networks of Economic Market Interdependence and Systemic Risk

2010/11/16 by Dion Harmon, Harmon, Dion, Blake Stacey +8
Economics, Econometrics and Finance · Physics and Astronomy · #Complex Systems and Time Series Analysis #Economic and Technological Innovation #FOS: Economics and business #FOS: Physical sciences #Market Dynamics and Volatility #Physics and Society (physics.soc-ph) #Statistical Finance (q-fin.ST) #physics.soc-ph #q-fin.ST

paper · pdf · doi:10.48550/arxiv.1011.3707

9 pages, 2 compound figures

openalex publication_date 2010/11/16 · arxiv created 2010/11/17 · arxiv updated 2010/11/18 · openalex created_date 2025/10/10 · openalex updated_date 2026/07/28

Abstract

The dynamic network of relationships among corporations underlies cascading economic failures including the current economic crisis, and can be inferred from correlations in market value fluctuations. We analyze the time dependence of the network of correlations to reveal the changing relationships among the financial, technology, and basic materials sectors with rising and falling markets and resource constraints. The financial sector links otherwise weakly coupled economic sectors, particularly during economic declines. Such links increase economic risk and the extent of cascading failures. Our results suggest that firewalls between financial services for different sectors would reduce systemic risk without hampering economic growth.

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