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Prediction of 30-day hospital readmission with clinical notes and EHR information

2025/03/29 by Tiago Almeida, Almeida, Tiago, Plínio Moreno +3
Computer Science · Health Professions · Medicine · #Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition (cs.CV) #Electronic Health Records Systems #FOS: Computer and information sciences #Heart Failure Treatment and Management #Machine Learning (cs.LG) #Machine Learning in Healthcare

paper · pdf · doi:10.48550/arxiv.2503.23050

openalex publication_date 2025/03/29 · openalex created_date 2025/10/10 · openalex updated_date 2026/07/28

Abstract

High hospital readmission rates are associated with significant costs and health risks for patients. Therefore, it is critical to develop predictive models that can support clinicians to determine whether or not a patient will return to the hospital in a relatively short period of time (e.g, 30-days). Nowadays, it is possible to collect both structured (electronic health records - EHR) and unstructured information (clinical notes) about a patient hospital event, all potentially containing relevant information for a predictive model. However, their integration is challenging. In this work we explore the combination of clinical notes and EHRs to predict 30-day hospital readmissions. We address the representation of the various types of information available in the EHR data, as well as exploring LLMs to characterize the clinical notes. We collect both information sources as the nodes of a graph neural network (GNN). Our model achieves an AUROC of 0.72 and a balanced accuracy of 66.7%, highlighting the importance of combining the multimodal information.

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