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Modelling the extreme storm surge in the western Baltic Sea on November 13, 1872, revisited

2022/11/11 by Bork, Ingrid, Rosenhagen, Gudrun, Müller-Navarra, Sylvin
#1872 Baltic Sea flood #Baltic Sea #FOS: Natural sciences #Frühwarnsystem für Seedeiche #Küsteningenieurwesen #Meeresregionen #reconstruction

paper · doi:10.18171/1.092103

Abstract

Works from 2009 were revisited to mark the 150th anniversary of the catastrophic flood of 1872 in the western Baltic Sea. At that time, the weather situation for November 1 to 13, 1872 was reconstructed from historical data and adjusted to historical water level data in an iterative process. Multiple uses of the resulting wind fields by other authors make an English representation worthwhile. A detailed presentation and evaluation of historical information as well as the description and evaluation of the reconstruction process and derived potential causes for the particular severity of the flood is given. The latter are dis-cussed on the basis of numerical experiments that have received little attention so far. De-viating from common ideas, a “Vorflut” in particular is contradicted as an essential pre-conditioning process.

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