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Dispuτable: the high cost of a low optical depth

2025/04/23 by Sailer, Noah, Farren, Gerrit S., Ferraro, Simone +1 · 7 citations
#Cosmology and Nongalactic Astrophysics (astro-ph.CO) #FOS: Physical sciences

paper · doi:10.48550/arxiv.2504.16932

Abstract

Recent Baryonic Acoustic Oscillation (BAO) measurements from the Dark Energy Spectroscopic Instrument (DESI) are mildly discrepant (2.2σ) with the Cosmic Microwave Background (CMB) when interpreted within ΛCDM. When analyzing these data with extended cosmologies this inconsistency manifests as a ≃3σ preference for sub-minimal neutrino mass or evolving dark energy. It is known that the preference for sub-minimal neutrino mass from the suppression of structure growth could be alleviated by increasing the optical depth to reionization τ. We show that, because the CMB-inferred τ is negatively correlated with the matter fraction, a larger optical depth resolves a similar preference from geometric constraints. Optical depths large enough to resolve the neutrino mass tension (τ∼0.09) also reduce the preference for evolving dark energy from ≃3σ to ≃1.5σ. Conversely, within ΛCDM the combination of DESI BAO, high-ℓ CMB and CMB lensing yields τ= 0.090 ± 0.012. The required increase in τ is in ≃3-5σ tension with Planck low-ℓ polarization data when taken at face value. While there is no evidence for systematics in the large-scale Planck data, τ remains the least well-constrained ΛCDM parameter and is far from its cosmic variance limit. The importance of τ for several cosmological measurements strengthens the case for future large-scale CMB experiments as well as direct probes of the epoch of reionization.

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