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Identifcation of hotspots and cold-spots of groundwater potential using spatial statistics

2025/09/12 by Liu, Tao, Ahmad, Imran, Mithas Ahmad Dar +4
#GWR Hotspot of groundwater potential Moran`s I OLS

paper · doi:10.20372/nadre:18289

Abstract

Study region: The Guna-Tana landscape is located in Ethiopia. This landscape is seriously facing water scarcity problems, that’s why we studied this landscape and provided the hotspots of groundwater potential areas in this region.<br> Study focus: In this study the hotspots and cold-spots of groundwater potential at, 99, 95, and<br> 90 % confdence levels has been deciphered. Using Gi-Bin values, four classes has been identifed viz., 2–3 (highly favorable), 0–1 (fairly favorable), - 2 to - 1 (poorly favorable) and - 3 (very poorly favorable). The hotspots was subjected to ordinary least squared (OLS) regression to understand the impact of chosen parameters (viz., geology, land-use, soil, rainfall, slope, and distance to rivers) towards groundwater potential.<br> New hydrological insights for the region: The absence of redundancy among the selected parameters was indicated by the VIF values of the parameters, which were determined to be less than 7.5. It was discovered that the Robust Probability (RobustPr) was statistically signifcant (p &lt; 0.01). The OLS model appears to have captured the variability of exploratory variables, as evidenced by the decreased values of Akaike’s Information Criterion (AICc). The Adjusted R-squared value of 0.9119 indicates that exploratory variables has successfully explained 91.19 % of the variance of the model.<br>

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