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A heuristic for ray class groups of quadratic number fields

2025/09/24 by Bartel, Alex, Pagano, Carlo
#11R11 #11R29 #11R65 #FOS: Mathematics #Number Theory (math.NT)

paper · doi:10.48550/arxiv.2509.20185

Abstract

We formulate a model for the average behaviour of ray class groups of real quadratic fields with respect to a fixed rational modulus, locally at a finite set S of odd primes. To that end, we introduce Arakelov ray class groups of a number field, and postulate that, locally at S, the Arakelov ray class groups of real quadratic fields are distributed randomly with respect to a natural Cohen--Lenstra type probability measure. We show that our heuristics imply the Cohen--Lenstra heuristics on class groups of real quadratic fields, as well as equidistribution results on the fundamental unit of a real quadratic field modulo an integer, and are consistent with Varma's results on average of sizes of 3-torsion subgroups of ray class groups of quardratic fields.

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