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On the Hedging of Options On Exploding Exchange Rates

2012/02/28 by Peter Carr, Carr, Peter, Travis Fisher +3
Economics, Econometrics and Finance · Mathematics · #FOS: Economics and business #FOS: Mathematics #Pricing of Securities (q-fin.PR) #Probability (math.PR) #math.PR #q-fin.PR

paper · pdf · doi:10.48550/arxiv.1202.6188

Major revision. Accepted by Finance and Stochastics. The original publication is available at http://link.springer.com

arxiv created 2013/11/24 · arxiv updated 2013/11/26

Abstract

We study a novel pricing operator for complete, local martingale models. The new pricing operator guarantees put-call parity to hold for model prices and the value of a forward contract to match the buy-and-hold strategy, even if the underlying follows strict local martingale dynamics. More precisely, we discuss a change of numéraire (change of currency) technique when the underlying is only a local martingale modelling for example an exchange rate. The new pricing operator assigns prices to contingent claims according to the minimal cost for superreplication strategies that succeed with probability one for both currencies as numéraire. Within this context, we interpret the lack of the martingale property of an exchange-rate as a reflection of the possibility that the numéraire currency may devalue completely against the asset currency (hyperinflation).

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