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Predicting Performance on MOOC Assessments using Multi-Regression Models

2016/05/08 by Zhiyun Ren, Huzefa Rangwala, Ren, Zhiyun +3
Computer Science · #Computers and Society (cs.CY) #Educational Technology and Assessment #FOS: Computer and information sciences #Intelligent Tutoring Systems and Adaptive Learning #Machine Learning (cs.LG) #Online Learning and Analytics

paper · pdf · doi:10.48550/arxiv.1605.02269

openalex publication_date 2016/05/08 · openalex created_date 2025/10/10 · openalex updated_date 2026/07/28

Abstract

The past few years has seen the rapid growth of data min- ing approaches for the analysis of data obtained from Mas- sive Open Online Courses (MOOCs). The objectives of this study are to develop approaches to predict the scores a stu- dent may achieve on a given grade-related assessment based on information, considered as prior performance or prior ac- tivity in the course. We develop a personalized linear mul- tiple regression (PLMR) model to predict the grade for a student, prior to attempting the assessment activity. The developed model is real-time and tracks the participation of a student within a MOOC (via click-stream server logs) and predicts the performance of a student on the next as- sessment within the course offering. We perform a com- prehensive set of experiments on data obtained from three openEdX MOOCs via a Stanford University initiative. Our experimental results show the promise of the proposed ap- proach in comparison to baseline approaches and also helps in identification of key features that are associated with the study habits and learning behaviors of students.

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