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Parsimonious Compactly Supported Covariance Models in the Gauss Hypergeometric Class: Identifiability, Reparameterizations, and Asymptotic Properties

2025/06/16 by Moreno Bevilacqua, Christian Caamaño‐Carrillo, Bevilacqua, Moreno +5 · 1 citation
Environmental Science · Mathematics · #Soil Geostatistics and Mapping #Probability and Statistical Research

paper · pdf · doi:10.48550/arxiv.2506.13646

Abstract

We study covariance functions in the Gauss hypergeometric (GH) class, a flexible family that encompasses the Generalized Wendland (GW) and Matérn (MT) models. We derive sharp validity conditions, providing a complete characterization of the admissible parameter space, and show that the model exhibits structural identifiability issues under both increasing- and fixed-domain asymptotics. To resolve this issue, we introduce a parsimonious compactly supported subclass selected via a maximum integral range criterion. The resulting hypergeometric model can be viewed as a structural refinement of the GW family and admits compact-support reparameterizations that recover the MT model as a limit case. We further establish strong consistency and asymptotic normality of the maximum likelihood estimator of the associated microergodic parameter under fixed-domain asymptotics. Simulation experiments and a real-data application to climate data illustrate the finite-sample behavior and practical performance of the proposed model.

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