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Disturbance-aware minimum-time planning strategies for motorsport vehicles with probabilistic safety certificates

2025/06/16 by Martino Gulisano, Gulisano, Martino, Masoni, Matteo +4 · 1 citation
Decision Sciences · Engineering · #Autonomous Vehicle Technology and Safety #FOS: Computer and information sciences #Risk and Safety Analysis #Robotics (cs.RO) #Safety Systems Engineering in Autonomy

paper · pdf · doi:10.48550/arxiv.2506.13622

openalex publication_date 2025/06/16 · openalex created_date 2025/10/13 · openalex updated_date 2026/07/28

Abstract

This paper presents a disturbance-aware framework that embeds robustness into minimum-lap-time trajectory optimization for motorsport. Two formulations are introduced. (i) Open-loop, horizon-based covariance propagation uses worst-case uncertainty growth over a finite window to tighten tire-friction and track-limit constraints. (ii) Closed-loop, covariance-aware planning incorporates a time-varying LQR feedback law in the optimizer, providing a feedback-consistent estimate of disturbance attenuation and enabling sharper yet reliable constraint tightening. Both methods yield reference trajectories for human or artificial drivers: in autonomous applications the modelled controller can replicate the on-board implementation, while for human driving accuracy increases with the extent to which the driver can be approximated by the assumed time-varying LQR policy. Computational tests on a representative Barcelona-Catalunya sector show that both schemes meet the prescribed safety probability, yet the closed-loop variant incurs smaller lap-time penalties than the more conservative open-loop solution, while the nominal (non-robust) trajectory remains infeasible under the same uncertainties. By accounting for uncertainty growth and feedback action during planning, the proposed framework delivers trajectories that are both performance-optimal and probabilistically safe, advancing minimum-time optimization toward real-world deployment in high-performance motorsport and autonomous racing.

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