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Oscillatory thermal instability and the Bhopal disaster

2010/07/09 by R. Ball, Rowena Ball, Ball, R. · 1 citation
Engineering · Materials Science · Mathematics · #Dynamical Systems (math.DS) #Energetic Materials and Combustion #FOS: Mathematics #Process Optimization and Integration #Thermal and Kinetic Analysis #math.DS

paper · pdf · doi:10.48550/arxiv.1007.1487

12 pages, 5 figures. Submitted to Process Safety and Environmental Protection 08 July 2010. A belated submission from work that should have been written up and published years ago

arxiv created 2010/07/09 · openalex publication_date 2010/07/09 · arxiv updated 2010/07/12 · openalex created_date 2025/10/10 · openalex updated_date 2026/07/28

Abstract

A stability analysis is presented of the hydrolysis of methyl isocyanate (MIC) using a homogeneous flow reactor paradigm. The results simulate the thermal runaway that occurred inside the storage tank of MIC at the Bhopal Union Carbide plant in December 1984. The stability properties of the model indicate that the thermal runaway may have been due to a large amplitude, hard thermal oscillation initiated at a subcritical Hopf bifurcation. This type of thermal misbehavior cannot be predicted using conventional thermal diagrams, and may be typical of liquid thermoreactive systems.

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