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Neural Two-Stage Stochastic Optimization for Solving Unit Commitment Problem

2025/07/13 by Zhentong Shao, Shao, Zhentong, Jingtao Qin +3
Engineering · #Advanced Manufacturing and Logistics Optimization #FOS: Computer and information sciences #FOS: Electrical engineering #Machine Learning (cs.LG) #Scheduling and Optimization Algorithms #Smart Grid Energy Management #Systems and Control (eess.SY) #electronic engineering #information engineering

paper · pdf · doi:10.48550/arxiv.2507.09503

openalex publication_date 2025/07/13 · openalex created_date 2025/10/10 · openalex updated_date 2026/07/28

Abstract

This paper proposes a neural stochastic optimization method for efficiently solving the two-stage stochastic unit commitment (2S-SUC) problem under high-dimensional uncertainty scenarios. The proposed method approximates the second-stage recourse problem using a deep neural network trained to map commitment decisions and uncertainty features to recourse costs. The trained network is subsequently embedded into the first-stage UC problem as a mixed-integer linear program (MILP), allowing for explicit enforcement of operational constraints while preserving the key uncertainty characteristics. A scenario-embedding network is employed to enable dimensionality reduction and feature aggregation across arbitrary scenario sets, serving as a data-driven scenario reduction mechanism. Numerical experiments on IEEE 5-bus, 30-bus, and 118-bus systems demonstrate that the proposed neural two-stage stochastic optimization method achieves solutions with an optimality gap of less than 1%, while enabling orders-of-magnitude speedup compared to conventional MILP solvers and decomposition-based methods. Moreover, the model's size remains constant regardless of the number of scenarios, offering significant scalability for large-scale stochastic unit commitment problems.

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