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Mitigating Blackout Risk via Maintenance : Inference from Simulation Data

2017/11/23 by Jinpeng Guo, Guo, Jinpeng, Feng Liu +7
Engineering · #Applications (stat.AP) #FOS: Computer and information sciences #FOS: Mathematics #Optimization and Control (math.OC) #Power System Optimization and Stability #Power System Reliability and Maintenance #Smart Grid Security and Resilience

paper · pdf · doi:10.48550/arxiv.1711.09761

openalex publication_date 2017/11/23 · openalex created_date 2017/12/04 · openalex updated_date 2026/07/28

Abstract

Whereas maintenance has been recognized as an important and effective means for risk management in power systems, it turns out to be intractable if cascading blackout risk is considered due to the extremely high computational complexity. In this paper, based on the inference from the blackout simulation data, we propose a methodology to efficiently identify the most influential component(s) for mitigating cascading blackout risk in a large power system. To this end, we first establish an analytic relationship between maintenance strategies and blackout risk estimation by inferring from the data of cascading outage simulations. Then we formulate the component maintenance decision-making problem as a nonlinear 0-1 programming. Afterwards, we quantify the credibility of blackout risk estimation, leading to an adaptive method to determine the least required number of simulations, which servers as a crucial parameter of the optimization model. Finally, we devise two heuristic algorithms to find approximate optimal solutions to the model with very high efficiency. Numerical experiments well manifest the efficacy and high efficiency of our methodology.

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