SIR Model for COVID-19 calibrated with existing data and projected for Colombia

2020/03/25 by De Castro, Carlos Armando
#FOS: Biological sciences #Populations and Evolution (q-bio.PE)

paper · doi:10.48550/arxiv.2003.11230

Abstract

In this paper we develop a SIR epidemiological model with parameters calculated according to existing data at the time of writing (24/03/2020); the data is from Italy, South Korea and Colombia, the model is then used to project the evolution of the COVID-19 epidemic in Colombia for different scenarios using the data of population for the country and known initial conditions at the start of the simulation.

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