Forecast of the evolution of the contagious disease caused by novel\n coronavirus (2019-nCoV) in China

2020/02/11 by Javier Galán Gamero, Gamero, Javier, Juan Aurelio Tamayo Gallego +4
Economics, Econometrics and Finance · Environmental Science · Mathematics · #62-07 #Applications (stat.AP) #COVID-19 Pandemic Impacts #COVID-19 epidemiological studies #COVID-19 impact on air quality #FOS: Biological sciences #FOS: Computer and information sciences #Populations and Evolution (q-bio.PE)

paper · pdf · doi:10.48550/arxiv.2002.04739

openalex publication_date 2020/02/11 · openalex created_date 2025/10/10 · openalex updated_date 2026/07/28

Abstract

The outbreak of novel coronavirus (2019-nCoV) in China has caused a viral\nepidemic affecting tens of thousands of persons. Though the danger of this\nepidemic is evident, the statistical analysis of data offered in this paper\nindicates that the increase in new cases in China will stabilize in the coming\ndays or weeks. Our forecast could serve to evaluate risks and control the\nevolution of this disease.\n

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