2018/06/01 by Benjamin Recht, Rebecca Roelofs, Recht, Benjamin +5 · 2 voices · 22 citations
Computer Science · Mathematics · #Advanced Neural Network Applications #FOS: Computer and information sciences #Generative Adversarial Networks and Image Synthesis #Machine Learning (cs.LG) #Machine Learning (stat.ML) #Medical Image Segmentation Techniques #cs.LG #stat.ML
paper · pdf · doi:10.48550/arxiv.1806.00451
openalex publication_date 2018/06/01 · arxiv published 2018/06/01 · arxiv updated 2018/06/01 · openalex created_date 2025/10/10 · openalex updated_date 2026/07/28
Machine learning is currently dominated by largely experimental work focused on improvements in a few key tasks. However, the impressive accuracy numbers of the best performing models are questionable because the same test sets have been used to select these models for multiple years now. To understand the danger of overfitting, we measure the accuracy of CIFAR-10 classifiers by creating a new test set of truly unseen images. Although we ensure that the new test set is as close to the original data distribution as possible, we find a large drop in accuracy (4% to 10%) for a broad range of deep learning models. Yet more recent models with higher original accuracy show a smaller drop and better overall performance, indicating that this drop is likely not due to overfitting based on adaptivity. Instead, we view our results as evidence that current accuracy numbers are brittle and susceptible to even minute natural variations in the data distribution.