2020/04/18 by Eric Friedman, Friedman, Eric, Friedman, John +2 · 1 citation
Economics, Econometrics and Finance · Mathematics · #COVID-19 Pandemic Impacts #COVID-19 epidemiological studies #FOS: Economics and business #FOS: Physical sciences #General Economics (econ.GN) #Physics and Society (physics.soc-ph)
paper · pdf · doi:10.48550/arxiv.2004.08504
openalex publication_date 2020/04/18 · openalex created_date 2020/04/24 · openalex updated_date 2026/07/28
In the face of elevated pandemic risk, is it necessary to completely lock down the population, imposing extreme social distancing? Canonical epidemiological models suggest this may be unavoidable for months at a time, despite the heavy social and human cost of physically isolating people. Alternatively, people could retreat into socially or economically defined defensive zones, with more interactions inside their zone than across zones. Starting from a complete lockdown, zones could facilitate responsible reopening of education, government, and firms, as a well-implemented structure can dramatically slow the diffusion of the disease. This paper provides a framework for understanding and evaluating the effectiveness of zones for social distancing.