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Off-Policy Interval Estimation with Lipschitz Value Iteration

2020/10/29 by Ziyang Tang, Yihao Feng, Tang, Ziyang +7
Computer Science · Decision Sciences · Mathematics · #Advanced Bandit Algorithms Research #Advanced Causal Inference Techniques #FOS: Computer and information sciences #Machine Learning (cs.LG) #Machine Learning (stat.ML) #Reinforcement Learning in Robotics

paper · pdf · doi:10.48550/arxiv.2010.15392

openalex publication_date 2020/10/29 · openalex created_date 2025/10/10 · openalex updated_date 2026/07/28

Abstract

Off-policy evaluation provides an essential tool for evaluating the effects of different policies or treatments using only observed data. When applied to high-stakes scenarios such as medical diagnosis or financial decision-making, it is crucial to provide provably correct upper and lower bounds of the expected reward, not just a classical single point estimate, to the end-users, as executing a poor policy can be very costly. In this work, we propose a provably correct method for obtaining interval bounds for off-policy evaluation in a general continuous setting. The idea is to search for the maximum and minimum values of the expected reward among all the Lipschitz Q-functions that are consistent with the observations, which amounts to solving a constrained optimization problem on a Lipschitz function space. We go on to introduce a Lipschitz value iteration method to monotonically tighten the interval, which is simple yet efficient and provably convergent. We demonstrate the practical efficiency of our method on a range of benchmarks.

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