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Multiple Areal Feature Aware Transportation Demand Prediction

2024/08/23 by Sumin Han, Jisun An, Han, Sumin +9
Computer Science · Engineering · Social Sciences · #Artificial Intelligence (cs.AI) #Data Management and Algorithms #FOS: Computer and information sciences #Traffic Prediction and Management Techniques #Transportation Planning and Optimization

paper · pdf · doi:10.48550/arxiv.2408.12890

openalex publication_date 2024/08/23 · openalex created_date 2025/10/10 · openalex updated_date 2026/07/28

Abstract

A reliable short-term transportation demand prediction supports the authorities in improving the capability of systems by optimizing schedules, adjusting fleet sizes, and generating new transit networks. A handful of research efforts incorporate one or a few areal features while learning spatio-temporal correlation, to capture similar demand patterns between similar areas. However, urban characteristics are polymorphic, and they need to be understood by multiple areal features such as land use, sociodemographics, and place-of-interest (POI) distribution. In this paper, we propose a novel spatio-temporal multi-feature-aware graph convolutional recurrent network (ST-MFGCRN) that fuses multiple areal features during spatio-temproal understanding. Inside ST-MFGCRN, we devise sentinel attention to calculate the areal similarity matrix by allowing each area to take partial attention if the feature is not useful. We evaluate the proposed model on two real-world transportation datasets, one with our constructed BusDJ dataset and one with benchmark TaxiBJ. Results show that our model outperforms the state-of-the-art baselines up to 7% on BusDJ and 8% on TaxiBJ dataset.

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