2012/12/11 by Camille Baysse, Baysse, Camille, Didier Bihannic +8
Decision Sciences · Engineering · Mathematics · #Advanced Statistical Process Monitoring #Applications (stat.AP) #FOS: Computer and information sciences #Fault Detection and Control Systems #Machine Fault Diagnosis Techniques #stat.AP
paper · pdf · doi:10.48550/arxiv.1212.2358
11 pages, 9 figures
arxiv created 2012/12/11 · openalex publication_date 2012/12/11 · arxiv updated 2012/12/12 · openalex created_date 2016/06/24 · openalex updated_date 2026/07/28
As part of optimizing the reliability, Thales Optronics now includes systems that examine the state of its equipment. The aim of this paper is to use hidden Markov Model to detect as soon as possible a change of state of optronic equipment in order to propose maintenance before failure. For this, we carefully observe the dynamic of a variable called "cool down time" and noted Tmf, which reflects the state of the cooling system. Indeed, the Tmf is an indirect observation of the hidden state of the system. This one is modelled by a Markov chain and the Tmf is a noisy function of it. Thanks to filtering equations, we obtain results on the probability that an appliance is in degraded state at time t, knowing the history of the Tmf until this moment. We have evaluated the numerical behavior of our approach on simulated data. Then we have applied this methodology on our real data and we have checked that the results are consistent with the reality. This method can be implemented in a HUMS (Health and Usage Monitoring System). This simple example of HUMS would allow the Thales Optronics Company to improve its maintenance system. This company will be able to recall appliances which are estimated to be in degraded state and do not control to soon those estimated in stable state.