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A probability theoretic approach to drifting data in continuous time\n domains

2019/12/04 by Fabian Hinder, Hinder, Fabian, André Artelt +3 · 1 citation
Computer Science · #Advanced Database Systems and Queries #Data Stream Mining Techniques #FOS: Computer and information sciences #Machine Learning (cs.LG) #Machine Learning (stat.ML) #Time Series Analysis and Forecasting

paper · pdf · doi:10.48550/arxiv.1912.01969

openalex publication_date 2019/12/04 · openalex created_date 2022/07/26 · openalex updated_date 2026/07/28

Abstract

The notion of drift refers to the phenomenon that the distribution, which is\nunderlying the observed data, changes over time. Albeit many attempts were made\nto deal with drift, formal notions of drift are application-dependent and\nformulated in various degrees of abstraction and mathematical coherence. In\nthis contribution, we provide a probability theoretical framework, that allows\na formalization of drift in continuous time, which subsumes popular notions of\ndrift. In particular, it sheds some light on common practice such as\nchange-point detection or machine learning methodologies in the presence of\ndrift. It gives rise to a new characterization of drift in terms of stochastic\ndependency between data and time. This particularly intuitive formalization\nenables us to design a new, efficient drift detection method. Further, it\ninduces a technology, to decompose observed data into a drifting and a\nnon-drifting part.\n

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