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Predicting Soccer Penalty Kick Direction Using Human Action Recognition

2025/07/16 by David Freire-Obregón, Freire-Obregón, David, Oliverio J. Santana +7
Computer Science · #Anomaly Detection Techniques and Applications #Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition (cs.CV) #FOS: Computer and information sciences #Human Pose and Action Recognition #Video Analysis and Summarization

paper · pdf · doi:10.48550/arxiv.2507.12617

openalex publication_date 2025/07/16 · openalex created_date 2025/10/18 · openalex updated_date 2026/07/28

Abstract

Action anticipation has become a prominent topic in Human Action Recognition (HAR). However, its application to real-world sports scenarios remains limited by the availability of suitable annotated datasets. This work presents a novel dataset of manually annotated soccer penalty kicks to predict shot direction based on pre-kick player movements. We propose a deep learning classifier to benchmark this dataset that integrates HAR-based feature embeddings with contextual metadata. We evaluate twenty-two backbone models across seven architecture families (MViTv2, MViTv1, SlowFast, Slow, X3D, I3D, C2D), achieving up to 63.9% accuracy in predicting shot direction (left or right), outperforming the real goalkeepers' decisions. These results demonstrate the dataset's value for anticipatory action recognition and validate our model's potential as a generalizable approach for sports-based predictive tasks.

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