Not Even Wrong: On the Limits of Prediction as Explanation in Cognitive Science
2025/09/30 by Mark Orr, Orr, Mark, Drew Cranford +18 · 3 voices
Arts and Humanities · #Philosophy and History of Science
paper · pdf · doi:10.48550/arxiv.2510.03311
Abstract
We offer a comment on the Centaur (Binz et al., 2025) transformer-based model of human behavior. In particular, Centaur was cast as a path towards unified theories of cognition. We offer a counter claim with supporting argument: Centaur is a path divergent from unified theories of cognition, one that moves towards a unified model of behavior sans cognition.
Discussions
- Love it when a paper on arXiv includes a footnote reading "We stole this notion from Christof Koch (March 24, 2025, Mindscape podcast by Sean Carroll)." arxiv.org/abs/2510.03311 [bsky, 84 points, 3 comments]
- A recent Nature paper has introduced Centaur, a LLAMA-based LLM that surpasses any cognitive models in predicting human behavior. Is this the ultimate unified theory of cognition? In this preprint, my [bsky, 18 points, 0 comments]
- Not Even Wrong: On the Limits of Prediction as Explanation in Cognitive Science [hn, 1 points, 2 comments]
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