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The unrealized potential of agroforestry for an emissions-intensive agricultural commodity

2024/10/28 by Becker, Alexander, Wegner, Jan D., Dawoe, Evans +7 · 1 citation
#Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition (cs.CV) #FOS: Computer and information sciences

paper · doi:10.48550/arxiv.2410.20882

Abstract

Reconciling agricultural production with climate-change mitigation is a formidable sustainability problem. Retaining trees in agricultural systems is one proposed solution, but the magnitude of the current and future-potential benefit that trees contribute to climate-change mitigation remains uncertain. Here, we help to resolve these issues across a West African region that produces ~60% of the world's cocoa, a crop contributing one of the highest carbon footprints of all foods. Using machine learning, we mapped shade-tree cover and carbon stocks across the region and found that existing average cover is low (~13%) and poorly aligned with climate threats. Yet, increasing shade-tree cover to a minimum of 30% could sequester an additional 307 million tonnes of CO2e, enough to offset ~167% of contemporary cocoa-related emissions in Ghana and Côte d'Ivoire--without reducing production. Our approach is transferable to other shade-grown crops and aligns with emerging carbon market and sustainability reporting frameworks.

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