2022/02/08 by Dhaval Dalal, Dalal, Dhaval, Anamitra Pal +3
Computer Science · Engineering · #FOS: Electrical engineering #Systems and Control (eess.SY) #cs.SY #eess.SY #electronic engineering #information engineering
paper · pdf · doi:10.48550/arxiv.2202.03588
5 pages, 8 Figures, IEEE PES GM 2022
arxiv created 2022/02/08 · arxiv updated 2022/02/09
Generating representative scenarios for power system planning in which the stochasticity of renewable generation and cross-correlations between renewables and load are fully captured, is a challenging problem. Traditional methods for scenario generation often fail to generate diverse scenarios that include both seasonal (frequently occurring) and atypical (extreme) days required for planning purposes. This paper presents a methodical approach to generate representative scenarios. It also proposes new metrics that are more relevant for evaluating the generated scenarios from an applications perspective. When applied to historical data from a power utility, the proposed approach resulted in scenarios that included a good mix of seasonal and atypical days. The results also demonstrated pertinence of the proposed cluster validation metrics. Finally, the paper presents a trade-off for determining optimal number of scenarios for a given application.