On the short time prediction of earthquakes in the Balkan- Black Sea region based on geomagnetic field measurements and tide gravitational potential behavior

2002/10/19 by S. Cht. Mavrodiev, Mavrodiev, S. Cht.
Earth and Planetary Sciences · Economics, Econometrics and Finance · Physics and Astronomy · #Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics (physics.ao-ph) #Complex Systems and Time Series Analysis #Earthquake Detection and Analysis #FOS: Physical sciences #Geophysics (physics.geo-ph) #physics.ao-ph #physics.geo-ph

paper · pdf · doi:10.48550/arxiv.physics/0210080

17 pages, 16 figures, 7 tables, PDF format

openalex publication_date 2002/10/19 · arxiv created 2002/10/24 · arxiv updated 2009/12/01 · openalex created_date 2025/10/10 · openalex updated_date 2026/07/28

Abstract

The paper is a first attempt for statistical estimation of method for a short time prediction of incoming earthquake in the Balkan and Black Sea region from January to June, 2002. The essence of the discovery is that the geomagnetic local "quake" is a precursor of future earthquake, which time is determined by the tide gravitational potential behavior. A Balkan Black Sea region Earthquake's "When, where" Prediction Network is proposed.

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