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Variational Full Bayes Lasso: Knots Selection in Regression Splines

2021/02/26 by Larissa C. Alves, Alves, Larissa, Ronaldo Dias +3
Mathematics · #62G08 #COVID-19 epidemiological studies #Computation (stat.CO) #FOS: Computer and information sciences #Methodology (stat.ME) #Statistical Methods and Inference

paper · pdf · doi:10.48550/arxiv.2102.13548

openalex publication_date 2021/02/26 · openalex created_date 2025/10/10 · openalex updated_date 2026/07/28

Abstract

We develop a fully automatic Bayesian Lasso via variational inference. This is a scalable procedure for approximating the posterior distribution. Special attention is driven to the knot selection in regression spline. In order to carry through our proposal, a full automatic variational Bayesian Lasso, a Jefferey's prior is proposed for the hyperparameters and a decision theoretical approach is introduced to decide if a knot is selected or not. Extensive simulation studies were developed to ensure the effectiveness of the proposed algorithms. The performance of the algorithms were also tested in some real data sets, including data from the world pandemic Covid-19. Again, the algorithms showed a very good performance in capturing the data structure.

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