2022/06/02 by Daniel Cirkovic, Tiandong Wang, Cirkovic, Daniel +3
Physics and Astronomy · Psychology · #05C82 #60F05 #60G44 #Complex Network Analysis Techniques #FOS: Computer and information sciences #G.3 #I.6 #Mental Health Research Topics #Methodology (stat.ME) #Opinion Dynamics and Social Influence
paper · pdf · doi:10.48550/arxiv.2206.01076
openalex publication_date 2022/06/02 · openalex created_date 2025/10/10 · openalex updated_date 2026/07/28
Generative, temporal network models play an important role in analyzing the dependence structure and evolution patterns of complex networks. Due to the complicated nature of real network data, it is often naive to assume that the underlying data-generative mechanism itself is invariant with time. Such observation leads to the study of changepoints or sudden shifts in the distributional structure of the evolving network. In this paper, we propose a likelihood-based methodology to detect changepoints in undirected, affine preferential attachment networks, and establish a hypothesis testing framework to detect a single changepoint, together with a consistent estimator for the changepoint. Such results require establishing consistency and asymptotic normality of the MLE under the changepoint regime, which suffers from long range dependence. The methodology is then extended to the multiple changepoint setting via both a sliding window method and a more computationally efficient score statistic. We also compare the proposed methodology with previously developed non-parametric estimators of the changepoint via simulation, and the methods developed herein are applied to modeling the popularity of a topic in a Twitter network over time.