Heterogeneous causal effects of neighborhood policing in New York City\n with staggered adoption of the policy

2020/06/13 by Joseph Antonelli, Brenden Beck, Antonelli, Joseph +1 · 1 citation
Engineering · Mathematics · Medicine · Psychology · Social Sciences · #Actuarial science #Advanced Causal Inference Techniques #Average treatment effect #Bayesian probability #COVID-19 epidemiological studies #Causal inference #Confounding #Counterfactual thinking #Crime Patterns and Interventions #Criminology #Demographic economics #Econometrics #Economics #Engineering #FOS: Computer and information sciences #Law #Mathematics #Medicine #Methodology (stat.ME) #Political science #Precinct #Propensity score matching #Psychology #Public economics #Selection bias #Social psychology #Sociology #Statistics #Urban planning #Urban policy

paper · pdf · doi:10.48550/arxiv.2006.07681

openalex publication_date 2020/06/13 · openalex created_date 2022/07/26 · openalex updated_date 2026/07/28

Abstract

In New York City, neighborhood policing was adopted at the police precinct\nlevel over the years 2015-2018, and it is of interest to both (1) evaluate the\nimpact of the policy, and (2) understand what types of communities are most\nimpacted by the policy, raising questions of heterogeneous treatment effects.\nWe develop novel statistical approaches that are robust to unmeasured\nconfounding bias to study the causal effect of policies implemented at the\ncommunity level. We find that neighborhood policing decreases discretionary\narrests in certain areas of the city, but has little effect on crime or racial\ndisparities in arrest rates.\n

Citations

• Comparative Politics and the Synthetic Control Method
• Difference-in-differences with variation in treatment timing
• Design-based Analysis in Difference-In-Differences Settings with Staggered Adoption
• Causal inference from observational data: Estimating the effect of contributions on visitation frequency atLinkedIn
• Synthetic Control Methods for Comparative Case Studies: Estimating the Effect of California’s Tobacco Control Program

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• Comparative Evaluation of Difference in Differences Methods for Staggered Adoption Interventions

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