2020/04/14 by Philip Verwimp, Davide Osti, Gudrun Østby · 27 citations
Medicine · Psychology · Social Sciences · #Archaeology #Demographic Trends and Gender Preferences #Demographic economics #Demography #Displacement (psychology) #Economics #Fertility #Forced migration #Geography #Global Maternal and Child Health #Internally displaced person #Migration and Labor Dynamics #Population #Psychology #Refugee #Residence #Socioeconomics #Sociology #Statistics #Survey data collection
paper · doi:10.1111/padr.12316
published in Population and Development Review 46(2), 287-319 (Wiley)
openalex publication_date 2020/04/14 · openalex created_date 2025/10/10 · openalex updated_date 2026/07/26
Abstract The civil war in Burundi (1993–2005) led to the forced displacement of a large part of the population. This study aims to explore how that displacement affected fertility behavior. Using a nationally representative, retrospective survey on birth and residential histories of 4,523 Burundian women, we examine the impact of conflict‐induced displacement on fertility. These unique data enable us to distinguish between remaining‐in‐place, voluntary migration, and forced displacement, as well as to distinguish between periods spent “on the move” versus periods spent in residence in the new site. Adopting a semiparametric regression model, we analyze both the probability of the first pregnancy and the subsequent spacing of higher order pregnancies. We find that the risk of a first pregnancy was higher in the year in which a woman was forcibly displaced and lower in the year a woman migrated voluntarily. Residency in a new site increased the risk of pregnancy for both.