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Estimating Causal Effects of Text Interventions Leveraging LLMs

2024/10/28 by Siyi Guo, Myrl G. Marmarelis, Guo, Siyi +5 · 1 citation
Computer Science · #Natural Language Processing Techniques #Topic Modeling

paper · pdf · doi:10.48550/arxiv.2410.21474

Abstract

Quantifying the effects of textual interventions in social systems, such as reducing anger in social media posts to see its impact on engagement, is challenging. Real-world interventions are often infeasible, necessitating reliance on observational data. Traditional causal inference methods, typically designed for binary or discrete treatments, are inadequate for handling the complex, high-dimensional textual data. This paper addresses these challenges by proposing CausalDANN, a novel approach to estimate causal effects using text transformations facilitated by large language models (LLMs). Unlike existing methods, our approach accommodates arbitrary textual interventions and leverages text-level classifiers with domain adaptation ability to produce robust effect estimates against domain shifts, even when only the control group is observed. This flexibility in handling various text interventions is a key advancement in causal estimation for textual data, offering opportunities to better understand human behaviors and develop effective interventions within social systems.

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