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Cyclical lock-down and the economic activity along the pandemic of COVID-19

2020/06/02 by F.E. Cornes, Cornes, Fernando E., G.A. Frank +3
Economics, Econometrics and Finance · Mathematics · Social Sciences · #COVID-19 Pandemic Impacts #COVID-19 epidemiological studies #FOS: Biological sciences #FOS: Physical sciences #Misinformation and Its Impacts #Physics and Society (physics.soc-ph) #Populations and Evolution (q-bio.PE)

paper · pdf · doi:10.48550/arxiv.2006.06409

openalex publication_date 2020/06/02 · openalex created_date 2025/10/10 · openalex updated_date 2026/07/28

Abstract

The investigation focuses on an on-off protocol for controlling the COVID-19 widespread. The protocol establishes a working period of 4 days for all the citizens, followed by 8 days of lock-down. We further propose splitting people into smaller groups that undergo the on-off protocol, but shifted in time. This procedure is expected to regularize the overall economic activity. Our results show that either the on-of protocol and the splitting into groups reduces the amount of infected people. However, the latter seems to be better for economic reasons. Our simulations further show that the start-up time is a key issue for the success of the implementation.

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