2025/04/14 by Francesco De Martin, Mario Marcello Miglietta, Thomas Gastaldo +4 · 1 citation
Earth and Planetary Sciences · Environmental Science · #Climate variability and models #Meteorological Phenomena and Simulations #Tropical and Extratropical Cyclones Research
paper · pdf · doi:10.1002/wea.7715
openalex publication_date 2025/04/14 · openalex created_date 2025/10/10 · openalex updated_date 2026/07/23
Abstract The meteorological phenomenon that led to the Bayesian yacht sinking in Sicily at 0206 utc on 19 August 2024 is here investigated. A thunderstorm occurred during the sinking, but uncertainties exist whether a waterspout or a convective windstorm affected the ship. An in‐depth analysis of available observations highlighted that the ship was likely struck by a convective windstorm. The predictability of the event was also investigated. Operational simulations performed with the high‐resolution numerical model ICON initialised one day ahead pointed out that a convective wind gust hazard was predicted over the southern Tyrrhenian Sea during that night.